German Perspective - 22.9.20

22/09/2020
What happened this week: The abattoir in our region lost contact with the market with prices paid to the abattoirs above the real market levels. This was triggered a couple of weeks ago in the south of the country and it is almost impossible to get it back under control. Butchers appreciated the typical high processor reflex and squeezed more from them. The tanning industry and suppliers were in mutual agreement that a general and moderate rise in prices could be justified if the demand for leather and leather prices continued to experience the recovery that started at the end of the holiday season. In the end, a moderate move for the current month was seen, but not a jump. Everybody is happy about recovery of business, but the major aim must be to protect sales and shipments as much as possible.

Nothing fundamental has changed. The furniture industry has taken advantage of cheap leather prices to use more of the material. Vehicle manufacturing is going through a period of normalisation and this is solid not only in Asia but also in Europe. However, a profound improvement for side leathers cannot be seen except the seasonal restart of production. Some people play the supply card, pointing towards lower kills, while others play the demand card, believing the demand for leather has fundamentally gone up and it is not just a correction for the excessive caution the leather industry took in the second quarter and the summer.  If all our hopes materialise and consumer demand continues to grow, a steady rise would be healthy and beneficial. 

The sharply increased abattoir prices could not be converted immediately into the equivalent selling price, with tanners all over the world willing to grant up to half of the asking price at the abattoir door. Interest from upholstery and automotive tanners was stable, but strictly limited to certain price levels. Sales numbers were acceptable for the week, but not evenly distributed across the hide types. Females, upholstery hides and heavy males for the automotive industry continue to be the focus while standard side leather hides remain on the side lines. Prices paid were about 5% to 8% higher versus a month ago.

The kill: Reasonably warm temperatures are keeping farmers busy with everything except selling cattle. Consequently, slaughter numbers were moderately lower and until the temperatures drop more seriously, we will have to wait for the next step in the seasonal rise.  

What we expect: We are in a state of stalemate with sellers neither willing nor able to adjust their asking prices and buyers not willing to simply concede. The next couple of weeks will become a test of who is going to make the first move. 

Type Weight range Avg. green weight Salted weight Avg. weight salted Price per kg green weight Trend
Ox/heifers 15/24,5 kg 22,0/23,5 kg 13/22 kg 20/21 kg € 1,00
Steady
25/29,5 kg 27,5/28,5 kg 22/27 kg 25/26 kg € 0,70 Steady

Dairy cows

15/24,5 kg

22,5/23,5 kg

13/22 kg

20/21 kg

€ 0.65

Steady

25/29,5 kg

27,5/28,5 kg

22/27 kg

25/26 kg

€ 0.55

Steady

30/+kg

33,5/35,5 kg

27/+kg

29/31 kg

€ 0.50

Steady
Bulls 25/29,5 kg 27,5/28,5 kg 22/ 27 kg 25/26 kg € 0,65 Difficult
30/39,5 kg 36,0/37,0 kg 24/34 kg 31/33 kg € 0,70 Steady
40/+ kg 45,0/48,0 kg 34/+kg 38/40 kg € 0,70 Steady
Thirds 15/+kg 25,0/27,5 kg 13/+kg 24/26 kg € 0.30 Steady
Thirds bulls 30/+kg 38,0/40,0 kg 24/+kg 33/36 kg € 0.35 Steady

 


Type Weight range Avg. green weight Salted weight Avg. weight salted Price per kg green weight Trend
Ox/heifers 15/24,5 kg 22,0/23,5 kg 13/22 kg 20/21 kg € 1,00
Steady
  25/29,5 kg 27,5/28,5 kg 22/27 kg 25/26 kg € 0,70 Steady

Dairy cows

15/24,5 kg

22,5/23,5 kg

13/22 kg

20/21 kg

€ 0.65

Steady
 

25/29,5 kg

27,5/28,5 kg

22/27 kg

25/26 kg

€ 0.55

Steady

30/+      kg

33,5/35,5 kg

27/+   kg

29/31 kg

€ 0.50

Steady
Bulls 25/29,5 kg 27,5/28,5 kg 22/ 27 kg 25/26 kg € 0,65 Difficult
  30/39,5 kg 36,0/37,0 kg 24/34 kg 31/33 kg € 0,70 Steady
  40/+     kg 45,0/48,0 kg 34/+   kg 38/40 kg € 0,70 Steady
Thirds 15/+      kg 25,0/27,5 kg 13/+   kg 24/26 kg € 0.30 Steady
Thirds bulls 30/+      kg 38,0/40,0 kg 24/+   kg 33/36 kg € 0.35 Steady